# Rashee Rice — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/10229 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/10229", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:45.843884+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "10229", "name": "Rashee Rice", "team": "KC", "pos": "WR", "age": 26, "exp": 3, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 47.0, "ros_ppg": 12.23, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 12.229700000000003, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 220, "adp": 29.5, "adp_pr": 12, "ly": { "pts": 121.6, "g": 8, "through_week": 15, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 5.0, "rushing_yards": 20.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 78.0, "receptions": 53.0, "receiving_yards": 571.0, "receiving_tds": 5.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 2.0, "receiving_first_downs": 28.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 28.7, "ppg": 15.2, "ypc": 4.0, "ypt": 7.3, "ypr": 10.8, "catch_pct": 67.9, "total_yd": 591.0, "ypg": 73.9, "touches": 58.0, "first_downs": 30.0, "xfp": 113.9, "xfp_diff": 7.7, "xfp_through_week": 15, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 74.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.57, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.17, "rec_adot": 4.46, "rec_air_share": 8.4, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.58, "rec_catch_pct": 67.95, "rec_drops": 4.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 5.1 }, "ytd": { "pts": 31.5, "g": 3, "through_week": 3, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 17.0, "receptions": 13.0, "receiving_yards": 190.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 6.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 18.7, "ppg": 10.5, "ypc": null, "ypt": 11.2, "ypr": 14.6, "catch_pct": 76.5, "total_yd": 190.0, "ypg": 63.3, "touches": 13.0, "first_downs": 6.0, "xfp": 20.9, "xfp_diff": 10.6, "xfp_through_week": 3, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 62.3, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 5.9 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "10229", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:45.846507+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Kansas City schemed Rice the ball closer to the line of scrimmage than almost anyone, a 4.4-yard aDOT that was second-shallowest among qualified receivers, with an air-yards share of just 8.4 percent. Across his eight games it worked: 15.2 points per game, fifth-best at the position, on 9.8 targets a week, helped by 3.6 yards of average separation (91st percentile) that comes from running free underneath. A profile like this scales with volume rather than big plays, and his 10.8 yards per reception in the bottom fifth confirms it, so the case rests on the target rate compounding across a full season. The consensus buys that case, projecting 224 points at WR7 with nearly ten touchdowns, while the market holds him at a 34.8 ADP and WR13, six spots cheaper, discounting the questionable tag he carries into camp and an eight-game 2025. That spread makes him one of the more interesting structural discounts in the WR2 range. If he is active in September the per-game evidence favors the projection over the ADP, and short-aDOT volume is about the most stable kind of receiving production there is week to week.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Rashee Rice (knee) without injury designation for Sunday — Rice's knee injury is nothing more than a minor issue at this point and won't affect his availability for Week 3. Fantasy managers should be starting him this week, though maybe expectations should be tempered for him after an underwhelming first two games of the season.", "latest_at": "2026-09-25T22:08:25+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-27T09:00:23.404300+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "without injury designation; minor issue; won't affect his availability; starting him this week; tempered expectations", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-27T09:20:32.622047+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```